The Portland Trail Blazers have found a trade to create some extra roster room, agreeing Saturday to deal guard Jerryd Bayless to the New Orleans Hornets for a conditional future first-round pick.
The Portland Oregonian reported that the 2011 first-round pick that the Blazers will receive from New Orleans is protected 1-to-7 in the 2011 draft and 1-to-8 in 2012, 2013 and 2014. The Blazers will thus take ownership of the pick in the June draft as long as it is No. 8 or lower.
Link – Hollinger’s analysis
Smart move by Portland. Bayless has struggled mightily for the Blazers and showed a lack of development in his two years there. The chances of him coming good are minimal.
The first round pick is the more valuable asset. Nicely played.
Strong likelihood that the Hornets miss the playoffs again next season while finishing as one of the top teams to fail to make the playoffs meaning a high lottery pick. Something in the 11-14th range.
So, there is a very good chance that Portland will have a pick in that ball park next summer to add to their roster.
A slightly inefficient scoring point guard who cannot run an offense, is a limited passer/playmaker, is a so-so rebounder and is at best an average defensive player. Very good athlete but lacks length.
Very good penetrator who can get to the rim, is a solid finisher and gets to the free throw line very well (plus hits his FTs). Poor shooter from distance in the pros (eFG% of 39% on jump shots) in contrast to college days (hope for improvement?). Explosive scorer, highly focused on posting large scoring numbers.
In summation, Bayless is a one-dimensional scorer with a dodgy jump shot and an inability to run an offense who plays average defense. He uses a large number of possessions for someone who adds so little to a team overall.
Edit — Bayless’ Potential
Bayless fulfilling his potential would be turning his weak jump shot into a very good weapon + learning to run an offense at an adequate level. That addition to his arsenal would make him a very efficient 20ppg threat with average defense. The result being a very effective scoring PG.
Bayless was a very good shooter in college but he has struggled badly since joining the pros. After two years in the pros where he played for a top coach and in a great situation for a player with his skill-set (read: Brandon Roy), and given his performance to date … I think the chances of Bayless becoming this player are very slim.
While I am not optimistic about him reaching the ceiling I thought he had coming out of college, I do think Bayless will continue to improve as a shooter (becoming serviceable to average) and that that improvement (along with some improvement as a floor general) will solidify him as a quality rotation player. Most likely as a scoring change of pace backup PG and possibly some short stints as a starter on a team that is short of firepower or talent at the point.
Third Wasted Asset
This is the third highly valuable asset that the New Orleans Hornets have thrown away, wasted, this summer:
- Their 2010 lottery pick, the 11th pick, which became Cole Aldrich.
- Traded Darren Collison (19ppg and 8apg as a starter) for role player Trevor Ariza
- Their 2011 lottery pick, likely in the 11-14th range, for a borderline rotation player (Bayless).
That is the difference between being able to turn around a program or not.
The mismanagement of the Hornets this summer has made it incredibly likely that Chris Paul force his way out of the club in the next 12-24 months.