NBA Roundtable

Some Preseason Stats

In General NBA on October 26, 2009 at 11:14 am

This post is just some notes on stats that jumped out me during the preseason.

#1 — Michael Beasley

  • 14.4ppg and 5.8rpg in 30.4 minutes
  • 43.5% field goal percentage with a true shooting percentage of 50.9%

Similar problems for Beasley in preseason as in last season. He puts up a lot of shots but scores with very poor shooting efficiency and his rebounding is very poor for a big man. Combine this with his poor-to-very poor defense.

It doesn’t look good for fans hoping to see Beasley breakout this season.

#2 — Jermaine O’Neal

  • 8.4ppg and 4.6rpg in 24 minutes per game
  • 45.7% field goal percentage with a true shooting percentage of 52%

Jermaine O’Neal was scoring at a low level (about 11 points per 32 minutes) with below average efficiency. His rebounding was very poor once again. This is after a large fall in his effectiveness defensively.

The odds of a comeback season are looking very slim.

Miami Heat

It’ll be difficult for the Miami Heat to sustain their performance level from last season without getting more of a contribution from either Jermaine O’Neal or Michael Beasley.

They’re looking like an outsider for the playoffs this season.

Edit: The passage directly above on the Heat is too harsh. The lack of progress from O’Neal and Beasley, should it continue, will be a setback for the Heat and I think it stops the Heat from being a lock for the playoffs … but the Heat are definitely still in the mix, as much as the other teams they’re fighting against, for one of the final playoff seeds. Too harsh.

#3 — Jeff Teague

  • Teague had one horrific performance when he went 0-15 from the field. Outside of that game, he scored 13.8ppg in 27 minutes with a true shooting percentage of 56%.
  • Teague is lightening quick and very explosive athletically. Physically, he looks like a taller version of Aaron Brooks, some similar skills between the two too.
  • Good player.

It’s a pity that the Hawks signed Jamal Crawford … it remains to be seen whether or not the Hawks can find a way to fit Teague into their rotation.

#4 — Josh Smith

  • 23.3 minutes and contributed 5.0 rebounds per game and 1.71 turnovers per game.
  • He did shoot 60% from the field though … while not taking a single three pointer.

Josh Smith’s rebounding per minute and turnovers per minute numbers are both very similar to his career averages. That’s a bad sign. His field goal percentage is very good though, so maybe he’s cut down on the number of stupid shots that he normally takes. We’ll see.

#5 — Kevin Garnett

  • Garnett looked fantastic out there. Not quite 100%, but he’s close.
  • 12.7 points and 6 rebounds per game in just 22 minutes while shooting 56% from the floor.

Expect to see the KG we know and love. He’s back!

#6 — Rasheed Wallace

  • 5.9 rebounds in 24.6 minutes.

Sheed was up and down rebounding wise over the preseason, but he seems to be making an effort to be more active on the glass this season. This is something to watch going forward (see if lasts) for Celtics fans.

#7 — JJ Hickson

Hickson has been showing off a much improved offensive game in preseason. He’s been scoring a point every two minutes (10 in 20) and shooting 52% from the field. His focus rebounding wise and defensively seem to have taken a back seat to his offense though, so that will be a work in progress for the regular season.

#8 — Rodney Stuckey

  • Scored 16 points in 29 minutes per game which is a good clip … but his true shooting percentage was only 52.7%.
  • His assists marks were concerning too at 2.5 per game.

Stuckey doesn’t look like he’s going to be a prolific assist man (5-7 per game rather than an 8-10 type of assist man) but that’s not too important because he adds value with floor leadership and decision making as a passer. But that true shooting percentage is a big concern, he needs to improve that.

#9 — Carmelo Anthony

  • 23.6 points per game in 24.1 minutes per game. He shot 54.5% from the field and got 66 free throw attempts off 99 field goal attempts.
  • Melo added five rebounds per game for good measure.

Nothing to say here really … just incredible scoring stats. Nice work Melo!

#10 — Monta Ellis

  • 13 points per game in 27 minutes of action.
  • Monta shot only 42% from the field and had a true shooting percentage of 44.7%.

It looks like we’ll be seeing a repeat of last season’s effort from Ellis. That’s disappointing.

Is it just me, or would the Warriors be better off without Ellis on the team?

#11 — Trevor Ariza

  • 87 points on 80 shots and 23 free throws for a TS% of 48%

It doesn’t look good for Ariza’s scoring efficiency now that he’s one of the main weapons on his new team. Something to watch as the season progresses.

Ariza’s rebounding numbers were low too (5 per 36 versus 7 per 36 for his career) … watch that also … see if his intent on proving his scoring prowess effects the effort he puts in on the boards.

#12 — Danny Granger

  • 4.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists in 24.6 minutes which would be 6.3 boards + 3.4 assists per 36.

Both would be career marks for Danny. His all-round game has slipped considerably while he’s attempted/succeeded in improving his scoring abilities. In order for him to take the next step in his career, he has to boost his non-scoring contributions. Watch his defense + rebounding + assist marks for signs of how well he’s doing in this regard.

I only watched one or two Pacers preseason games and Danny’s defense didn’t look any better. His rebounding numbers are good though, which is an improvement on what we saw last season.

#13 — Baron Davis

  • 10 points, 7.5 dimes, and 3 rebounds in 27 minutes a night
  • A true shooting percentage of 51.6%

Baron looks like he’s back to his GSW productivity days.

#14 — Blake Griffin

How is the rookie of the year doing?

  • 14 and 8 in 28 minutes … which is 18 and 10 per 35.
  • He’s also shooting 56% from the floor

Blake Griffin is doing darn good.

#15 — Andrew Bynum

  • 20.3 points per game in 30.4 minutes while shooting 57.5% from the field
  • 7.7 rebounds

Bynum’s focus defensively + on the backboards has been poor once again. He isn’t coming anywhere close (current ability wise, not potential) to the impact he could have on the game in either area.

Drew’s offensive game has looked very good … but the Lakers need his contributions in the two other areas more so than the scoring.

#16 — Corey Brewer

  • 15.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, 1.9 assists, 1.75 steals, and 0.73 blocks per game … in 27 minutes.

Corey Brewer is perfect for the Triangle offense — the all round game with his passing and ball handling ability, the excellent cutting — and in Kurt Rambis he has a coach that should make good use of his athleticism out in the open floor.

I’m looking for a breakout season from Corey Brewer.

#17 — Ersan Ilyasova

  • 3 rebounds in 18 minutes per night
  • True shooting percentage of 58.4% while scoring 10 points in 18 minutes

Ilyasova has been up and down like a yo-yo on the glass throughout preseason. Started off awfully, then showed some ability, poor again, then good again. His defense has also been poor and he’s fouling at a horrific rate.

Ilyasova hasn’t found his footing in the NBA yet, but it’s way too early to jump to any conclusions. He’s shown enough flashes of ability to maintain my belief in him … for now!

Offensively, Ilyasova has looked very good.

#18 — Danilo Gallinari

  • 4.3 rebounds in 23.4 minutes

Good to see some good rebounding productivity from the healthy Gallinari after poor board work during his injury riddled rookie season.

Gallinari has also shown off his very impressive passing skills but has struggled with his shot, and it looks like he’s lost his starting spot for the season opener as a result.

#19 — Courtney Lee

  • 16 points in 34 minutes … very efficient scoring

Courtney Lee underperformed offensively throughout his rookie season. He has a lot more ability to show off, and I think he’ll be able to keep up that type of production (16-18 points per game) throughout the season in NJ.

Lee isn’t ready to be that type of a threat on a good team, but on a bad team like the Nets he’ll be able to sustain it.

#20 — Brook Lopez

  • 15.6 points and 7.9 boards in only 29 minutes … 18.3 and 9.7 per 34 minutes/

17-19 points and 9-10 rebounds per game this season for Brook Lopez? Looks well within his reach.

#21 — Ryan Anderson

  • 14 points in 20 minutes game time

Anderson has been getting up a lot of shots in that Magic offense. He’s enjoying himself.

Side Note: Anderson is a defensive game (poor to solid) away from being a borderline All-Star.

#22 — Russell Westbrook

  • 7.7 assists versus 2.6 turnovers in 25.4 minutes playing time.

Watch out … the game is slowing down for the Westbrook.

His patience, poise, decision making and vision are all vast improvements over where he was this time last season.

#23 — Elton Brand

  • 9.5 points and 6 rebounds per game in 25 minutes.

Almost identical per minute production to what we saw last season from Brand. That’s 14 and 9 … Luis Scola territory?

#24 — Channing Frye

  • Rebounds — only four boards in 27 minutes of tick. C’mon Frye, you can do (a lot) better than that.
  • Shooting — 43% from the field, 43% from three, and 83% from the line. Over a third of his shots coming from three point range. A true shooting mark of 54.5%.

The offense has looked good. I think he can do better but he’s been good … but the rebounding is well below his normal work. I think he’s concentrating too much on the offense. Hopefully he’ll snap out of it because he could be a positive influence on that Suns team.

#25 — Greg Oden

  • 13.6 points and 9.3 rebounds in just 22.4 minutes. Ridiculously productive.

I haven’t caught a Blazers game yet … but what I want to see from Oden is the defense. That should be his first priority.

Oden’s rebounding is already incredible and his offense should only be a secondary concern. It’s the defensive effectiveness that will decide whether Portland are a legitimate contender or not.

#26 — Tyreke Evans

  • 15.1 points, 4.9 rebounds and 4.7 assists in 31.6 minutes
  • 4.0 turnovers per game and a true shooting percentage of 50%

Pretty much what I expected.

#27 — DeJuan Blair

  • 14 and 8 in just 18 minutes … ridiculous

#28 — George Hill

  • 15.3 points in 23.9 minutes while shooting 58% from the field, 60% from three point range, and 80% from the line.

Top 15 point guard in the NBA? Seriously …

This is the question that’s been in my head since Christmas last season. If George Hill was on another team, and playing 30-35 minutes a night, would he be a top 15 point guard in the NBA? Not down the road, but right now, this season.

The defense is excellent. The rebounding is excellent. He’s not a playmaker offensively, but he’s useful enough at running an offense and his poise/decision making would improve considerably with more minutes. He’s a good complementary scoring threat who can shoot, drive, and finish. He’s good under pressure and aggressive in big moments against big time opponents. Great self-confidence.

Top 15 point guard in the NBA? That’s the question that I can’t get out of my head.

#29 — Demar DeRozan

  • 39 free throws off 61 shot attempts

I’m very surprised at how well DeRozan is getting to the free throw line. He didn’t look at all capable of posting above average numbers during summer league.

This is something to watch going forward. It would be great news for the Raptors if DeRozan could supply a good dose of free throw attempts … because the Raps’ offense is way too reliant on Chris Bosh for easy points at the stripe +  it would be a great sign for DeRozan’s scoring efficiency both in the short term but more importantly in the long term.

#30 — Gilbert Arenas

  • 6.5 assists in just 25 minutes of action
  • Also four turnovers per game

Arenas could be amongst the league leaders in assists this season. He’s making a big effort to share the spoils.

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  1. Dave,

    1. Great work [as usual!] putting these numbers together.

    2. I don’t expect the Heat to “improve” this season; but, unlike others, neither do I expect to see them take a significant step backwards, even if Michael Beasley doesn’t generate a “large” increase in his production numbers.

    IMO, the Heat can still hold their ground in the East this season with solid work from the likes of:

    Quentin Richardson [new add]
    Carlos Arroyo [new add]

    Mario Chalmers [2nd season with Mia]
    Daequan Cook [3rd season with Mia]
    James Jones [2nd season with Mia]
    Yakhouba Diawara [2nd season with Mia]
    Dorell Wright [5th season with Mia, drafted from hs]
    Joel Anthony [3rd season with Mia]

    Udonis Haslem [vet]
    Jermaine O’Neal [vet, 2nd season with Mia]
    Jamaal Magloire [vet, 2nd season with Mia]

    if they get a full season and the usual brilliance from D-Wade.

  2. It’ll be difficult for the Miami Heat to sustain their performance level from last season without getting more of a contribution from either Jermaine O’Neal or Michael Beasley.

    They’re looking like an outsider for the playoffs this season.

    That may have been too harsh … I’ll have to think on that.

    Seven Teams

    I have seven teams (Chicago + Detroit + usual suspects) that I think have a significantly better chance at making the playoffs.

    That leaves Miami fighting with Philadelphia, Toronto, Charlotte, and Milwaukee. The Knicks or Pacers may work their way into that mix but for now I’m going to leave them outside of it (Dunleavy injury, Gallinari may not be ready to be that big of a difference maker).

    Miami doesn’t distinguish itself from those four other teams … but neither have any of the other teams pushed themselves substantially ahead of the Heat.

    Conclusion

    Hmm … yeah, I think the above quote was too harsh. Miami has just as good a chance at winning one of those final seeds, likely the eight seed, as any of those other four teams.

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