NBA Roundtable

Kapono’s Shooting/Scoring

In Uncategorized on November 21, 2008 at 7:46 am

Some very impressive shooting marks from Jason Kapono

  • Field goal percentage is 49.3%
  • Three point percentage is 55%. This is an incredible mark
  • Free Throw percentage is 80%

Like I said, very impressive shooting statistics. Unfortunately, they’re not as effectual as they should be, for comparison’s sake let’s use Jamario Moon. I think most would agree that Jamario Moon has underperformed badly in the opening period of the season – here’s some stats:

  • Kapono’s field goal percentage is superior at 49.3% to 45.3% for Moon
  • Kapono’s three point field goal percentage is superior at 55% to 37.5% for Moon
  • Kapono’s free throw percentage is superior at 80% compared to 71.4% for Moon

So who’s the most efficient scorer? Well, not so quick, let’s look at a few other statistics

  • Jason Kapono plays 24.5 minutes a game. Jamario Moon plays 23.7 minutes. So Kapono plays slightly more minutes but it’s very close.
  • Jason Kapono takes 6.6 shots a game. In comparison, Moon takes only 4.8 shots a game.
  • Kapono scores 7.9ppg while Moon scores 6.5ppg.

Wait a moment, why does Kapono score only 1.4ppg while taking 1.8 shots more per game? All of Kapono’s shooting percentages are higher and his three point shooting is vastly superior. How is this happening?

  • Jamario Moon takes 2.2 three pointers per game. Kapono actually takes less, only 1.8 threes per game. Still, Kapono’s vastly superior three point shooting percentage means he makes 25% more threes per game than Jamario Moon does.
  • A important difference is the number of three point shots out of their total shots. Moon takes 2.2 three pointers out of his 4.8 shots per game. Kapono on the other hand takes only 1.8 threes out of 6.6 attempts per game. In other words, 46% of Moon’s field goal attempts are from downtown whereas only 27% of Kapono’s field goal attempts are from behind the arc.
  • Another key difference is free throw attempts. Jamario Moon takes 1.9 FTs per game versus 0.5 for Kapono. That’s 380% more FTs than Kapono takes. That stastisc is even worse when you consider Kapono shoots more shots than Moon. Moon gets 1.9 FTs per 4.8 shot attempts, a 40% clip. In comparison Kapono takes 0.5 FTs per 6.6 shot attempts, a very poor 7.5% clip. That’s 533% more FTs attempted per field goal for Moon versus Kapono.

The result?

  • Jamario Moon scores 1.36 points per shot (including free throws)
  • Jason Kapono scores 1.19 points per shot

A couple of further things to bear in mind

  • Jermaine O’Neal while off to a poor start offensively (42% from the field) is scoring 1.11 points per shot. Kapono is actually closer to Jermaine than Moon despite his fantastic shooting percentages.
  • Kapono scored 1.16 points per shot last season, so he’s actually doing better this year.

My point? These two point jump shots (only 5% of Kapono’s shots come inside the paint – interestingly that’s 58% less than last year, but comparable to his best season as a pro in Miami when he took 6% in the paint) that Kapono takes are killing his efficiency. He needs to do a better job sticking to his strengths and take a large percentage of his shots from downtown. It would be brilliant if he could get to the FT line more often, but since this is sixth year in the league and he’s shown no capability to do that it may be asking too much from him.

Two examples to further validate my point

  • In his breakout season in Miami, he took 37.3% of his shots from downtown and scored 1.30 points per shot. That season he also shot 49% from the field, and a lower 51% from downtown.
  • Against Orlando in last season’s playoffs, Jason Kapono took 45% of his shots from downtown and scored 1.47 points per shot attempt. That was not the only factor for Kapono’s efficiency in that series, he was also red hot from the field shooting 58% from the floor and 54% from three, but it was a big factor. If Kapono shot his present level of three pointers per shot attempt (27%), he would have only scored 1.31 points per shot while shooting the same percentages from the floor.

There will be more (short note) on Kapono tomorrow – the recent move of putting Bargnani in the starting lineup has renewed my interest in the Raptors wings.

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